TRX market file Rank #8 Layer 1

TRON

$0.3405-0.77% 24h

TRON is a decentralized blockchain-based operating system designed to accelerate the decentralization of the internet and its underlying infrastructure.

Open TRX chart

Updated 2m ago

Market signalBullish61 / 10030D -1.02% · 21.1% below ATH

Market cap: $32.33B
Layer 1 share: 1.3%
Volume (24h): $509.18M1.6% of cap
Circulating supply: 94.96BTRX
Fully diluted value: $32.33B

PRICE HISTORY

TRON price chart

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MODEL SCENARIOS

TRON price prediction

How far TRON could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.

Horizon

Reference close$0.3404

Median outcome$0.3419 +0.4%

Target dateDec 23, 2026

TRX 90-day range

Actual
Median
50%
80%
95%

Explore the horizon · Day 90 · Dec 23, 2026

$0.3419 median +0.4% · 80% band $0.2896–$0.3979

Actual daily closes from Sep 25, 2025 to the $0.3404 reference close on Sep 24, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Dec 23, 2026.

How this prediction is built

Dextape resamples TRON’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.

01
Return sample
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
365 days
02
Bootstrap paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
1,200 paths
03
Historical replay
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
75% inside

Model sensitivities

Horizon	Median	80% band width	Replay coverage
7D	$0.3419	±4.3%	79% of 80
30D	$0.3419	±9.1%	74% of 31
90D	$0.3419	±15.9%	75% of 8
1Y	$0.3425	±29.8%	—

Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.

Technical details

Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.

Risks and limitations

The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.

Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.

Computing TRON’s price paths…

MARKET SIGNAL

Why TRON reads bullish

Historical position supports the reading: 96% of the log range from the all-time low to the high. The evidence below produces a bullish reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.

Bullish61 / 100100% data coverage i

Score drivers i

Momentum55% weight+1.8 pts
Historical position20% weight+9.1 pts
Milestone recency15% weight0 pts
Volume confirmation10% weight0 pts

Historical position i

ATL$0.001804Now$0.3405ATH$0.4313

96% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.

Momentum evidence i

24h: -0.77%
7d: +1.55%
30d: -1.02%
200d: +18.77%
1y: +0.69%

Market context · not scored

Volume (24h): $509.18M
Turnover: 1.57%
Overall rank: #8
Circulating supply: 94.96B

How this score is calculated Model v1.0

The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.

Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.

TODAY’S TRADING

TRON market analysis

Price movement i

24h low$0.3386Now$0.340524h high$0.3439

36% of the way from the day's low to its high · 1.55% range width

1h: -0.83%
24h: -0.77%
7d: +1.55%
30d: -1.02%
200d: +18.77%
1y: +0.69%

Trading activity is quiet i

Turnover: 1.57%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
24h range: 1.55%High minus low as a share of the current price.
Range position: 36%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.
Rank in Layer 1: 46 of 180By 24-hour price change among tracked peers.

Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.

What if the price moves?

Starting price$0.3405

Scenario price$0.3745

Price change +10%

Change per TRX: $0.034. A calculation, not a prediction.

WHERE IT TRADES

TRON markets

Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.

The provider did not return trading pairs for TRON. No venue list is shown rather than a stale one.

Provider response: 429 Too Many Requests

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FOLLOW THE STORY

TRON news & coverage

Reporting that mentions TRON, with the original publisher identified.

No recent stories mention TRON. Coverage refreshes every few minutes.

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THE BASICS

About TRON

TRON is a decentralized blockchain-based operating system designed to accelerate the decentralization of the internet and its underlying infrastructure. It serves as a global settlement layer for stablecoins and everyday digital purchases, providing a high-throughput environment to support large-scale decentralized applications. The network is governed by a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO), which allows the community to manage the protocol without a central authority.

Its primary value proposition includes a unique resource model that utilizes bandwidth and energy to allow for high transaction volumes without traditional fee spikes. The platform functions as a smart contract platform that enables the creation of decentralized applications and is compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine, allowing developers to easily migrate applications. TRON operates using a Delegated Proof of Stake consensus mechanism where token holders vote for 27 Super Representatives to verify transactions and maintain the ledger.

This structure is built for scalability and fast finality, aiming to handle more transactions per second than many established legacy blockchains. Users can interact with the ecosystem for various purposes, including decentralized finance (DeFi) through platforms like JustLend DAO and decentralized storage via the BitTorrent File System. Value moves through the system via its native utility token, TRX, which facilitates transactions and grants users access to network resources.

Holders can lock their TRX in a staking mechanism to gain TRON Power, which is used to vote on network rules and elect Super Representatives, earning rewards for securing the network. Established by the TRON Foundation and led by founder Justin Sun, the project has transitioned into a community-led DAO. The ecosystem is supported by strategic partnerships with major global entities, including Samsung, which integrated TRON into its blockchain keystore, as well as BitTorrent, Opera, and Swisscom Blockchain.

TRON price today

TRON price	$0.3405
24h change	-0.77%
24h low / high	$0.3386 / $0.3439
Market cap	$32.33B
Market cap rank	#8
24h volume	$509.18M
Circulating supply	94.96B TRX
Total supply	94.96B TRX
Maximum supply	No hard cap
Fully diluted value	$32.33B
All-time high	$0.4313 · December 3, 2024
All-time low	$0.001804 · November 11, 2017
Hashing algorithm	Delegated Proof-of-Stake
Genesis date	August 28, 2017

What determines TRON's market capitalisation?

Market cap is the latest price ($0.3405) multiplied by the circulating supply (94.96B TRX). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.

Why can TRX prices differ between exchanges?

Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.

How fresh is this data?

Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.

How to read this market file

Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: tron.

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