LINK market file Rank #16

Chainlink

$12.28-4.92% 24h

Chainlink is the industry-standard decentralized oracle network that solves the "oracle problem" by connecting smart contracts with real-world data.

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Updated 2m ago

Market signalNeutral58 / 10030D +5.90% · 76.7% below ATH

Market cap: $9.18B
Rank: #16
Volume (24h): $561.85M6.1% of cap
Circulating supply: 748.1Mof 1B max
Fully diluted value: $12.27B

PRICE HISTORY

Chainlink price chart

Loading Chainlink price history…

MODEL SCENARIOS

Chainlink price prediction

How far Chainlink could move over the coming weeks and months, read from its own past year of daily moves, with the evidence behind each range. Recomputed daily.

Horizon

Reference close$12.29

Median outcome$10.62 -13.5%

Target dateDec 23, 2026

LINK 90-day range

Actual
Median
50%
80%
95%

Explore the horizon · Day 90 · Dec 23, 2026

$10.62 median -13.5% · 80% band $6.85–$16.83

Actual daily closes from Sep 25, 2025 to the $12.29 reference close on Sep 24, 2026. The median and the 50%, 80% and 95% bands extend to Dec 23, 2026.

How this prediction is built

Dextape resamples Chainlink’s own daily price changes to estimate a range of possible future prices. The model replays the observed daily returns in random order along 1,200 paths, then reads the spread of outcomes at each day of the horizon. It shows how wide outcomes have been, not where the price will go, and it is not investment advice.

01
Return sample
365 observed daily log returns from the trailing year, used as drawn.
365 days
02
Bootstrap paths
Seeded resampling, so the same inputs always give the same bands.
1,200 paths
03
Historical replay
8 past windows re-run with the same method; a calibrated 80% band holds about 80% of realised closes.
75% inside

Model sensitivities

Horizon	Median	80% band width	Replay coverage
7D	$12.17	±12.5%	84% of 80
30D	$11.77	±25.3%	74% of 31
90D	$10.62	±40.6%	75% of 8
1Y	$6.94	±58.7%	—

Band width grows roughly with the square root of the horizon, as expected for independent daily draws.

Technical details

Log returns from the trailing 365 daily closes are drawn with replacement (a stationary bootstrap with a fixed seed per asset, horizon and reference date, so the output is reproducible). Percentiles of the cumulative return across paths form the 50%, 80% and 95% bands. The historical replay refits the same method on rolling 120-day windows of the past year and counts how often the realised close landed inside the 80% band. No drift, volatility clustering or external signals are modelled.

Risks and limitations

The sample is one year of this asset’s history. Events outside it, such as a delisting, an exploit or a regime change, are not represented.
Daily returns are drawn independently, so volatility clustering and trends are understated. Real drawdowns can run deeper and longer than the bands.
The bands describe the model’s outcomes. They are not a probability that the price reaches any level, and nothing here is a recommendation.

Probabilistic scenario analysis from public Binance daily closes, recomputed daily. Not a guarantee or investment recommendation.

Computing Chainlink’s price paths…

MARKET SIGNAL

Why Chainlink reads neutral

Momentum supports the reading: 5 of 5 windows, 30-day move weighted highest. The evidence below produces a neutral reading of current conditions, not a price forecast.

Neutral58 / 100100% data coverage i

Score drivers i

Momentum55% weight+5.2 pts
Historical position20% weight+5 pts
Milestone recency15% weight0 pts
Volume confirmation10% weight-2.6 pts

Historical position i

ATL$0.1482Now$12.28ATH$52.70

75% of the way from the all-time low to the high, on a log scale.

Momentum evidence i

24h: -4.92%
7d: +9.92%
30d: +5.90%
200d: +22.42%
1y: -43.44%

Market context · not scored

Volume (24h): $561.85M
Turnover: 6.12%
Rank: #16
Circulating supply: 748.1M

How this score is calculated Model v1.0

The score starts at a neutral 50 and adds four bounded drivers. Momentum (55%) blends the 24h, 7d, 30d, 200d and 1y moves; each passes through a saturating curve (tanh of the move over a per-window scale of 5, 12, 25, 50 and 80 points) and is weighted 10, 20, 40, 20 and 10 percent. Historical position (20%) maps the log-scale position between the all-time low and high onto −10 to +10 points. Milestone recency (15%) adds up to 7.5 points for an all-time high inside the past 30, 90 or 365 days and subtracts the same for a recent low. Volume confirmation (10%) adds up to 5 points in the direction of the day’s move once 24h turnover exceeds 2% of market value, saturating at 10%.

Readings of 60 or more are labelled bullish, 40 or less bearish. Missing inputs contribute zero and lower the reported data coverage instead of being guessed.

TODAY’S TRADING

Chainlink market analysis

Price movement i

24h low$12.10Now$12.2824h high$12.92

22% of the way from the day's low to its high · 6.68% range width

1h: -1.58%
24h: -4.92%
7d: +9.92%
30d: +5.90%
200d: +22.42%
1y: -43.44%

Trading activity is typical i

Turnover: 6.12%24h volume ÷ market cap. Above 8% reads as active, below 2% as quiet.
24h range: 6.68%High minus low as a share of the current price.
Range position: 22%0% is the day's low, 100% the high.

Volume is reported activity, not order-book liquidity. These figures describe observations, not a recommendation.

What if the price moves?

Starting price$12.28

Scenario price$13.51

Price change +10%

Change per LINK: $1.23. A calculation, not a prediction.

WHERE IT TRADES

Chainlink markets

Exchange pairs reported by CoinGecko. Venues that are unrated, stale, anomalous or wide-spread stay hidden until you ask for them.

The provider did not return trading pairs for Chainlink. No venue list is shown rather than a stale one.

Provider response: Provider cooling down; retry in 60s

FOLLOW THE STORY

Chainlink news & coverage

Reporting that mentions Chainlink, with the original publisher identified.

05:38

XRP Is Flashing 3 Bullish Signals Heading Into a Historically Weak OctoberBeInCrypto · Source article 04:30

Galaxy adds $100M Sky token and institutional adoption is testedCryptoSlate · Source article 04:30Chainlink Releases Node v2.65.0 With Confidential Workflow Monitoring FixNewsBTC · Source article 00:44Meta’s Camera-Free Glasses Are Real. The Home Agent Isn’t. Yet.Forkast · Source article 00:24Meta’s Agent-Commerce Layer Just Went Live. The Settlement Rails Were Built for This.Forkast · Source article 00:04Meta Just Built the First Integrated Agent-Commerce Stack — Shopify, Stripe, PayPal, All on One AgentForkast · Source article 20:30

Lion Group Reports Treasury Holding Of Roughly 195,000 HYPE TokensBitcoinist · Source article 15:29

Who Is Sebastián Marset? Uruguay’s Alleged Cocaine-Mafia Crypto KingpinCryptonews · Source article 13:28

Anthropic’s Claude AI Predicts a Wild 2026 Price Target for LINKCryptonews · Source article 11:30Is Chainlink (LINK) Infosys Partnership Relevant for the Coin?U.Today · Source article

THE BASICS

About Chainlink

Chainlink is the industry-standard decentralized oracle network that solves the "oracle problem" by connecting smart contracts with real-world data. Blockchains cannot access external information on their own, so Chainlink acts as a secure bridge, enabling smart contracts to react to real-world events using verified, tamper-proof data. It is widely considered one of the first decentralized oracle networks and is the market leader in bringing off-chain data on-chain.

The platform operates through a decentralized network of nodes that fetch, validate, and deliver data to smart contracts. When a contract requests information like a stock price, a committee of independent nodes retrieves and aggregates the data to reach consensus, then delivers a single trustworthy answer. Chainlink offers a suite of services including Data Feeds for asset prices, CCIP for cross-chain token transfers and messaging, Automation for triggering smart contract functions, and Proof of Reserve for verifying asset collateralization.

Chainlink has established itself as critical infrastructure for both DeFi and institutional adoption, with partnerships including Swift, Euroclear, Mastercard, UBS, ANZ, Fidelity International, and J.P. Morgan. Its institutional products include the Chainlink Runtime Environment for tokenized asset workflows, Confidential Compute for privacy-preserving computation, and the Automated Compliance Engine for embedding regulatory rules into smart contracts.

The LINK token is the native asset used to pay node operators for services, fund subscription accounts, and incentivize network security through staking. Node operators stake LINK as collateral, which can be slashed if they provide inaccurate data. Chainlink was co-founded in 2017 by Sergey Nazarov and Steve Ellis, who co-authored the white paper with Ari Juels, and raised $32 million in its September 2017 ICO.

Chainlink price today

Chainlink price	$12.28
24h change	-4.92%
24h low / high	$12.10 / $12.92
Market cap	$9.18B
Market cap rank	#16
24h volume	$561.85M
Circulating supply	748.1M LINK
Total supply	1B LINK
Maximum supply	1B LINK
Fully diluted value	$12.27B
All-time high	$52.70 · May 9, 2021
All-time low	$0.1482 · November 28, 2017
Genesis date	September 16, 2017

Circulating 74.8% of maximum supply

What determines Chainlink's market capitalisation?

Market cap is the latest price ($12.28) multiplied by the circulating supply (748.1M LINK). It measures the value of units in circulation, not money invested.

Why can LINK prices differ between exchanges?

Each venue has its own order book, fees and liquidity. Prices converge through arbitrage but can differ by the spread, especially on smaller venues. The markets section lists reliable venues first.

How fresh is this data?

Prices come from CoinGecko and refresh about every minute; each figure shows its source and when it was read. If the provider is unavailable, the page says so rather than showing a stale or invented number.

How to read this market file

Prices, capitalization and volume come from the displayed CoinGecko snapshot. Market capitalization and exchange volume describe different measures; neither is available liquidity for an order. Missing measurements remain blank. The chart opens the exact asset ID: chainlink.

Data sources and editorial standards →

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